Wednesday

2008 College Football Picks: Week 4


Hello again everybody...

Well not so much with getting the column up early, but as promised, here are my week 4 picks. Remember the Sports Take Top 10 College Football Poll starts after this week's games. If you'd like to be a voter, email me at: dcook93@yahoo.com.

So without further ado, let's get to pickin!


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As always, were recreational gaming legal, and were I to have the wherewithal to make a worthwhile wager, these are the games I'd be betting on:

Mississippi -7 vs. Vanderbilt: This one has shoot-out written all over it. Neither team has scored less than 24 points in their first 3 games.

Vanderbilt is 3-0 (1-0 SEC) with a moderately impressive win over South Carolina at home. The Commodores are usually doormats in the SEC, but every now and then they jump up to bite people.

Mississippi is 2-1, with this being their first SEC match-up of the year. Their toughest match-up of the year so far was at Wake Forest, a game they very nearly won.

But now they're at home and in need of a good start to the conference schedule. I like their QB Jevan Snead a lot. He's a transfer from Texas where he was barely beaten out by Colt McCoy.

Combine that with home-field advantage (not to mention the fact that this game has gone from -5 to -7, which means the money's going squarely on Ole Miss) and I feel okay giving the points and taking Mississippi in a shoot-out.

Go Rebs!

Next...

Alabama -9.5 @ Arkansas: Yes it's the road team, but at least they're favored!

And in my opinion, Arkansas is the worst 2-0 team in the nation. In fact, I was 100% prepared to pick against them last week as 20+ point underdogs to Texas before Hurricane Ike intervened.

So while they've technically had 2 weeks to prepare for 'Bama, the first week was spent trying to figure out what was going to happen to the Texas game, so no advantage there.

And no real time to fix what ails them. Yes, the Razorbacks are 2-0, but they've beaten Western Illinois and Louisiana-Monroe by a combined 5 points.

Meanwhile the Tide have been rolling (if you'll forgive the pun). After hammering ACC-favorite Clemson in Week 1, they've beaten Tulane and Western Kentucky soundly since.

So I like Alabama to keep cruising and win this game by 14 minimum.

2 picks, 2 favorites. Will the trend continue?

Thirdly...

North Carolina -3 vs. Virginia Tech: I may be out of my mind for continuing to pick ACC games, but I really think Virginia Tech continues to be over-rated.

The Hokies are 2-1 (1-0) with victories over Furman and Georgia Tech after a season-opening loss to East Carolina. This team has all kinds of issues deciding on their quarterback, and their usually stout special teams have been sketchy so far this year.

North Carolina is 2-0 (0-0) after destroying Rutgers on the road last week. That got people's attention very quickly. Now it's time for head coach Butch Davis to show people whether his program's for real or not.

3 points isn't much to give at home, and I can easily see UNC winning by a touchdown or more. So let's give the 3 and take the 'Heels!

Finally...

It's time for The Sports Take Flier Pick of the Week:

Florida -7.5 @ Tennessee: Sorry Jon... but I have to do it.

It's been a tale of 2 games for the Vols. A major upset on the road at UCLA and then home to crush Alabama-Birmingham. So which is the real Tennessee? We should have a better idea after Saturday.

Meanwhile the Gators have had 2 weeks to prepare for their first road contest of the year. They're rested and healthy. And it sounds like they're ready to turn uber-frosh Percy Harvin loose against the Vols defense.

Tough to give up nearly 8 on the road in a rivalry game. But I think Florida rolls here.

There's your picks for this week. I'm back tomorrow with the usual Friday goodness. Until then, thanks for reading!

2 comments:

  1. I like the Florida pick. Tennessee would have easily beaten UCLA if the would have run the ball, but instead forced a young quarterback to throw over and over when it wasn't necessary. Without an effective passer, Tennessee will not be able to trade scores with Florida. Their inexperience at quarterback will be their undoing and this will not be close. Last year the Gators won 59-20 in Gainesville. The Gators haven't fallen off much from last year, but I'd argue the Vols have. Tennessee's reputation is the only thing keeping this spread under 10 points.

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  2. Sadly, I can't find anything wrong with Dan's logic, if I had to pick those games, I'd pick the same winners.

    But he'll still be 2-2 including the flyer, somehow.

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